The party that is more confident in a negotiation/confrontation/other situation wins.
It is independent whether this confidence comes from boldness, determination, lies, present support or AbsentProxy, better (safer) position, force or else.
In the end if I believe that the other will not let down I will cede to avoid endangering my position.
I think all confrontations can be reinterpreted this way. This pattern can also be seen in the animal kingdom: Overawing for displaying potence and solving/avoiding fights.